Shift In Hurricane Jose Track: What It Means For The Philly Region

Hurricane Jose, packing 85 mph winds, is still on a track that could impact the East Coast. But the track has shifted in a way that should bring at least some relief to residents from the region.

The National Hurricane Center says the Category 1 hurricane is expected now to mostly veer away from the region and have its biggest impact on New England, particularly Cape Cod. Rain, gusty winds and perhaps some flooding from the storm is still expected mid-week.

A hazardous weather outlook remains in effect for all New Jersey and eastern Pennsylvania. Hurricane Jose is forecast to lift northward off of Delaware and New Jersey coasts Tuesday. Rain, gusty winds, beach erosion, and coastal flooding are all possible, but it's all dependent on the track and size of Jose as it passes off the coast, according to AccuWeather.

The highest risk of coastal flooding will be with the high tide cycles Monday evening through Tuesday night. Astronomical tides are already running high with the approach of the new moon.

There has been some impact already on the region. Forecasters say they've been recording 3-feet swells along the Jersey Shore now that Jose is moving over open waters. Beachgoers could expect some rocky waves.

Forecasters believed that the storm would head in a northwesterly direction and could point the storm in our direction. The new track, however, steers the storm mostly away from the region.

Jose, currently a Category 1 hurricane, is expected to pass within a few hundred miles of the coast on its closest approach around midweek. By this point, Jose will either remain at minimal hurricane intensity or weaken to a tropical storm, according to an AccuWeather release.

The possibility remains for Jose to make landfall, depending on how quickly the storm turns to the northeast.

“Although Jose will generally pass offshore of much of the East Coast, a landfall can still not be ruled out as Jose makes its closest pass to the United States,” AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said in the release.

The winds around Jose will push a large amount of water toward the mid-Atlantic and New England coast, leading to minor flooding at times of high tide. “With the new moon phase early this week, tide levels are higher than most of the rest of the month,” Sosnowski said in the release.

“A strong storm tracking near the coast may push tides to 1-3 feet above published levels.”At the very least, delays on the road and in the air are anticipated due to the rain and the wind. Outdoor sporting events may need to be rescheduled.

Here is the forecast:

  • Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. East wind 5 to 8 mph.
  • Monday night: A slight chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
  • Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Northeast wind 11 to 14 mph.
  • Monday night: A chance of showers, mainly after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Northeast wind 14 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
  • Tuesday: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 74. Breezy, with a northeast wind around 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
  • Tuesday night: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 66. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.